BoE to hold rates into the 2nd quarter 2011
Thursday, September 2nd, 2010With economies around the world cooling in recent months and the squeeze in the British minds, it has been suggested that the Bank of England will not be likely to increase the base rate until the second quarter of next year.
A recent poll carried out by Reuters of 60 economists indicates that the MPC will be more concerned about the overriding effect of the US downturn and the effect it will have across Europe.
Although Britain’s economy did expand in Q2 by 1.2% , its fastest pace for nine years, analysts expect this to shrink to 0.3-0.5% in each quarter through to the end of next year. Retail sales and consumer confidence figures over the last month have been buoyant, but business surveys of the private sector support expectations for a slowdown.
In July inflation still remained at 3.1% way above the 2% target, but again this will be less of a concern than the slowdown itself. The £200bn quantitative easing programme, it is suggested will remain as is and the poll suggested analysts believed that this would not increase.
Lending
With lending still available, it is still a task to satisfy the “New World” of stringent underwriting and although there are many that would sail through, there are the increasing numbers hitting a brick wall.
Commercial property prices and rental yields have decreased to what pundits believe will be the low point. Any business currently looking to rent space would find they are in a great position to tie down a long term deal according to The Mortgage Merchant.
To find out if The Mortgage Merchant can help you, your clients or anybody else you know, call them on 0845 456 1980 or email them at info@themortgagemerchant.co.uk
